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SECURITY PROJECTIONS IN KENYA IN 2026

  In 2025, the country’s security landscape was generally tense, with the central defining feature being the demise of a significant political figure, Raila Amollo Odinga (RAO). Gen Zee protests in commemoration of earlier protests led to several fatalities and a spike in unexplained organised abductions. Internationally, a massive fraud in the USA, mainly attributed to the immigrant Somali community, was unearthed which is bound to have repercussions on the country. The likely security-related issues of note in 2026 are: Natural disasters: Predictably, the first two months of every year in the country are periods of extensive drought and famine, leading to significant livestock losses and occasionally, human fatalities; this year may not be an exception.   After this period, heavy rains and floods invariably follow all across the country, with, ironically, again resultant loss of life and property. Banditry/Cattle ru...